There are several other scientists looking at the deterioration of Titanic, other than myself, and they have come up with some fascinating projections. This projection estimate was published in 2000 by two Canadian scientists, Roy Cullimore and Lori Johnson out of the University of Regina and DROYCON, Inc. and was looking specifically at the rusticles.
The table below summarizes the potential losses of iron from the bow section under various conditions of rusticle growth formation:
Estimated Time (calendar year, AD) Frame For the Losses of Iron
from the Steel Bow Section, RMS Titanic
Percentile Steel Loss under various Growth Conditions
| Growth Rate | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Extreme | 2020 | 2026 | 2034 | 2045 |
| High | 2032 | 2048 | 2056 | 2068 |
| Moderate | 2050 | 2068 | 2088 | 2106 |
| Low | 2098 | 2212 | 2326 | 2440 |
Lori has been part of several expeditions, most recently with James Cameron's trip to Titanic in 2005. What has been observed lately on Titanic is that there is an exponential deterioration in Titanic and these projections may be accelerated. We have been using our data from 2003 as a baseline and following out the deterioration throughout the past few years. In 2005, we spent almost 7 hours on the wreck and we were quite surprised to see all the additional deterioration that has taken place. I look forward to see Lori and Roy's latest projections!
It shouldn't be suprising. It is a wreck and a gravesite for over 1500 people. I wish that wreck had never been found.
Posted by: Glenn | February 11, 2006 at 02:47 AM
Sorry to disagree with you Glenn, but that is a very "new world" perspective.
The best way to remember the dead it’s to tell their story, know their lives, to know how things happen. We do it in Europe all the time.
Besides, there are no human remains in Titanic, it is not a gravesite, but a place where people have died (most of them outside the ship).
However I do not agree with the trading of personal objects from the Titanic, but I accept their exhibition when done in a respectful manner.
Posted by: Pedro Caleja | February 11, 2006 at 02:03 PM
All roads lead to Rome.
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